Bitcoin crashed from $126K to $75K (-40.4%). Many think it's the bottom. Historical data says otherwise.This article teaches 2 practical methods to assess BTC's true bottom: ① 60MA weekly technical analysis (2 historical breakdowns, 2 bear markets, 100% accuracy); ② Historical drawdown probability (analyzing 11 years of data—current -40% ranks only 7th, with 81% of years experiencing deeper drops).
Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to replace Powell as Fed Chair. Markets reacted unexpectedly: gold dropped 9%, silver posted its worst day since 1980 (-31.4%). Why did "dovish" news turn bearish?
In 2026's uncertain economy, 2 retail giants show vastly different defensiveness. Uncle Haowai uses Beta, demand rigidity, pricing power, and customer loyalty to compare traditional retail vs membership models. Learn the framework to build your own analytical system.
In February 2026, the US software sector suffered a historic sell-off—Adobe down 62%, Figma down 86%, ServiceNow down 59%. The trigger wasn't earnings misses but fears over GenUI (Generative UI), a paradigm shift where AI generates interfaces directly. This article uses three case studies and a four-dimension moat framework (switching cost, data moat, AI readiness, capital firepower) to evaluate which software companies can survive the AI era. Includes a six-month risk map and three scenario analyses.
Why do 80% of investors who chase 10-baggers ultimately lose everything? Howard Chen analyzes the luck factor behind Duan Yongping's 20x NetEase returns and how attribution bias destroys investors. Discover how Buffett's "slow" approach with 19.8% annual returns created 40,000x wealth over 58 years. Build the right investment mindset by understanding the critical difference between luck and skill.
Most AI investors chase ChatGPT, missing the real game: infrastructure layer ($160B) dwarfs applications ($4.8B) by 33x. Uncle Haowai teaches 3 proven quantitative tools to find true AI moats.
The 4-Asset Permanent Portfolio (25% SPY+25% TLT+25% SHY+25% GLD) reveals a 23.4-year backtested truth: 0.68% lower annual return (10.38% vs 11.06%), yet 119% higher expected returns (7.27% vs 3.32%). Key advantage: negative correlation hedging reduces max drawdown from -49% to -17%, enabling 70% persistence rate vs 30%. Nearly break-even during 2008 crisis (+0.11%).
